The Northumberland Plate has many happy memories from my childhood. So a bit of self indulgence, here is a betting preview of the John Smiths Northumberland Plate at Newcastle on Saturday. Preview from Bookies.com.
The bookmakers took a right pounding at Royal Ascot last week, and will be hoping that the winner of this Saturday’s big betting race, the Northumberland Plate, is not one of the well-fancied runners. The 2m9y race at Newcastle racecourse is for staying handicappers, and the ground is forecast to be good to firm.
The current antepost favourite for the race, Deauville Flyer, hails from the Tim Easterby yard and is a 7/1 chance with Bet 365. The race has not been too kind for the favourites over the last 10 years, as the only favourite to oblige in the time period was Juniper Girl in 2007 at 5/1. Only three winners of the race had a single-figure starting price and last year’s winner, Som Tala, was sent off at 16/1.
Deauville Flyer is a progressive handicapper chasing a hat-trick, but the four-year-old son of Dubai Destination is not guaranteed to make the cut. Another runner short in the antepost betting is this year’s winner of the Scottish Champion Hurdle Overturn, generally available at 8/1 . If he can translate his hurdles form to the level, he must surely have a big chance, and connections have had the race in mind for some time now.
Junior won the Ascot Stakes last week for trainer David Pipe, and he could be well-handicapped off an official mark of 90. The seven-year-old made all the running over the 2m4f trip at the Royal meeting and is proving terrific value for his £35,000 auction price in May.
David Pipe also has the option of running Mamlook, the winner of this year’s Chester Vase. Mamlook swerved the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot, but he has never won on ground faster than good.
Chiberta King is at 10/1 with most firms, and Red Cadeaux can be backed at 11/1 with Boylesports.
One runner that has been attracting bits and pieces of money in recent days is Elyaadi, who is at 12/1 with Boylesports. John Queally’s mare has been tried over hurdles before, and hails from the yard famous for Aintree specialist Al Eile.
If you are going to have an each-way bet on the Northumberland Plate, all of the bookmakers are offering four places at 1/4 the win odds.
Nortumberland Plate 2010 Odds from Paddy Power as of 9.50am 25th June
Deauville Flyer 6/1 5/1 9/2 4/1
Chiberta King 8/1
Mamlook 8/1
Overturn 7/1 8/1 11/1
Bernie The Bolt 14/1 12/1
Stanstill 20/1 16/1 12/1
Merchant of Dubai 12/1 14/1
Crackentorp 16/1 14/1
Desert Sea 20/1 14/1
Halla San 12/1 16/1
Drunken Sailor 14/1 16/1
Rajik 16/1
Aaim To Prosper 16/1 20/1
La Vecchia Scuola 20/1
Zaralabad 25/1
Sabotage 16/1 25/1 28/1
Royal Diamond 16/1 20/1 33/1
Spirit Is Needed 25/1 33/1
Macarthur 33/1 40/1
Becausewecan 33/1 40/1 50/1
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